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March 17, 2020

These Big Beasts Have Cash And Are Shopping For Bargains

Greater clarity on Brexit was supposed to bring a rebound in UK commercial property volumes and prices. But the coronavirus pandemic has put that idea on ice. 

European deal activity was down 18% in the first eight weeks of 2020, according to Real Capital Analytics. And the pullback of many investors from deals could provide an opportunity for the brave to pick up a bargain. 

“There’s going to be opportunities like never before,” Toscafund Asset Management Chief Economist Savvas Savouri told The Times.

He said that for the next two quarters, there would be an opportunity to buy UK property assets at compelling prices. Savouri was one of the few analysts who, during the worst depths of the 2008 financial crisis, argued that London and UK property prices were being discounted too deeply, a prediction that proved on the money.

These Big Beasts Have Cash And Are Shopping For Bargains

So who are the investors that have raised big pots of cash or are in the market looking for equity to target any potential bargains that arise in the UK? Here are seven players with cash to spend, according to PreqinAres ManagementU.S. investor

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Shopping malls and office buildings are becoming prime targets for short sellers, who are betting on a possible wave of defaults in the sector soon.

Amid this month’s stock market turmoil, billionaire investor Carl Icahn said Friday that he has staked his biggest position in a short on the commercial mortgage bond market, predicting in a television interview with CNBC that many of the country’s malls would default on loans made to them over the last 10 years.

Icahn anticipates office assets struggling in the same way to a lesser degree, but he cites his stake in credit-default swaps on the CMBX 6 index, which tracks largely retail commercial mortgage-backed securities loans issued in 2012, as his biggest bet. Holders of credit-default swaps on the…

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