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January 3, 2023

You’re Probably Going To Lose Money In 2023. But There’s Light At The End Of The Tunnel

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If 2022 was the year a genuine downturn finally came to commercial real estate after a bull run of more than a decade, then what of 2023?

To be the bearer of bad news, CRE in '23 is likely to bring subdued liquidity, price falls and not a small amount of distress, as increased debt costs continue biting and economic growth slows around the world. 

But — and it’s still only a small but — it could also be the year interest rates peak and investors gain enough confidence to start making new investments in a sector that has shown resilience compared to the last major financial downturn, cementing its place in the hearts of institutions across the world.

You’re Probably Going To Lose Money In 2023. But There’s Light At The End Of The Tunnel

“We’re seeing price adjustments, but we’re not going to rush in to invest during a volatile period in the market,” Ivanhoé Cambridge head of Europe and Asia-Pacific Karim Habra told Bisnow. “We have strong convictions on markets supported by structural trends. So with that respect, we are a long-term investor…

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‘Everything Is In Flux': Bisnow Readers Warn 2023 Will Get Off To A Rocky Start

‘Everything Is In Flux': Bisnow Readers Warn 2023 Will Get Off To A Rocky Start  

Heading into a new year, the commercial real estate industry finds itself in choppy waters amid fears of a recession, rising inflation, interest rate hikes and projects that have been put on pause as market players await a course correction.

Those responding to Bisnow’s 2023 predictions survey candidly said they are struggling to navigate more than this time last year, despite positive sentiments for certain parts of the country and several asset classes.

And they expect the turbulence to continue, at least in the short term, with an overwhelming majority reporting they think a recession is happening or will happen next year.

Some said the industry will suffer more than the general economy.

“Let me be specific: I think a commercial real estate recession is coming,” said Colliers Houston President Patrick Duffy, adding that that might not hold true for the economy at large given low unemployment and other indicators pointing away from an overall recession.

Only 5.5% of readers surveyed told Bisnow they do not think there will be a recession at all. Thirty-eight percent said we are in a recession now, and another 42% said they expect a shallow recession in 2023. Like Duffy, 14.8% of the 386 respondents who took the survey between Nov.…

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Year Ends With Blockbuster €650M European Hospitality Deal

Year Ends With Blockbuster €650M European Hospitality Deal  

London-based private equity firm Queensgate Investments is in advanced talks to sell its European hostels business to a private equity firm for €650M (£569M). Queensgate has entered exclusive talks to sell Generator’s European assets to French private equity firm PAI Partners, React News…

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