More than 70% of major apartment landlords saw an increase in fraudulent rental applications in 2023. One thing that has allowed rental fraud to pay off so well for renters is the wave of eviction moratoriums enacted around the country during the peak of the coronavirus pandemic. Those policies significantly extended the timeline to evict nonpayers, and renters — both good and bad actors — have racked up huge amounts of rent debt that weighed on landlords. Moratoriums have largely been shut down by now, and rent delinquencies are starting to be worked through, but that isn’t the case everywhere. Washington, D.C.’s affordable housing industry is in crisis as rent delinquencies are causing developers and operators to shut down. Last week the District enacted emergency legislation to unwind some of the pandemic-era policies that are delaying evictions and to provide funds to renters to pay off their rent debt. — Mark F. Bonner, Kayla Carmicheal, Jay Rickey and Catie Dixon Not getting The First Draft in your inbox? Click here to sign up. Got any feedback or want to send us a mailbag letter? Email firstdraft@bisnow.com. On Our Radar Could back-to-back hurricanes spark insurance chaos? First came Helene. Now comes Milton. There is precedent for that. One month after Hurricane Katrina hit Louisiana in 2005, Hurricane Rita also struck the state, triggering $6.8B in additional insurance claims. Combined Katrina-Rita losses totaled more than $50B and caused premiums to spike up to 50%. Insurers pulled back aggressively. This created a hard market, with reinsurance costs jumping 76% and commercial property premiums rising 40% in Louisiana and Texas. Many businesses toiled to secure coverage. That led to underinsurance and stalled redevelopment for years. That shift also drove a spike in demand for alternative risk financing and captive insurance solutions. Milton, now a Category 4 storm, is set to strike Florida on Wednesday. Small-business sentiment was still weak in September. The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index edged up to 91.5, remaining below the 50-year average for the 33rd straight month. Uncertainty hit a record high of 103. Capital outlays fell to 51%, and inventory gains dropped to their lowest since June 2020. Meanwhile, 34% of businesses reported unfilled job openings, and inflation remained the top concern for 23% of owners. REITs contributed $278B to the U.S. economy in 2023. A study by EY for Nareit also found that U.S. REITs generated 3.5 million full-time jobs last year. This includes 1.3 million jobs from REIT operations, 1.8 million jobs from construction and capital expenditures, and 431,000 jobs from dividend and interest payments. Energy supply threatens Ireland’s data center dreams. Ireland’s low taxes and strategic location once made it a top EU destination for data centers, but it faces setbacks as energy supply constraints and regulatory roadblocks stall new projects. Government restrictions on data centers, which consumed 21% of Ireland’s electricity in 2023, are pushing tech giants like AWS to explore alternatives in Germany, Spain and the UK. This Morning’s News INDUSTRIAL — Ares Splurges On Global Real Estate (FT): Ares Management is snapping up GLP’s international logistics assets for $3.7B, a major move to bolster its global real estate footprint. Learn more about the assets Ares scored. DATA CENTERS — IPI Partners Weighing $1B Sale To Blue Owl Capital (Bisnow): Blue Owl Capital is in talks to buy IPI Partners, the parent company of data center firms Stack Infrastructure and RadiusDC. Learn more about the deal. DATA CENTERS — Capex To Surge 40% By 2025, Says Citi (Seeking Alpha): Citi expects the big four cloud providers, Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Meta Platform, to increase data center spending by 40- to-50% year over year in 2025. These are the big four cloud companies Citi is eyeing. Today’s Deep Dive: Office Owners Coming Around Slowly On Accommodating New Mothers, But Not Kids |